Non-consensus decisions for high-impact bets
Independent analysis that examines second-order risk, incentive misalignment, and structural weaknesses in operations and decision-making.
What we examine
- •Second-order consequences and downstream effects
- •Misaligned incentives within teams and systems
- •Structural weaknesses in decision-making processes
- •Hidden assumptions and unstated dependencies
- •Operational blind spots and failure modes
What we are not
- •Not coaching or mentorship
- •Not a creative agency or branding service
- •Not inspirational content or thought leadership
- •Not ongoing retainers or long-term engagements
- •Not consensus-building or stakeholder management
Our approach
Calm
Measured analysis without urgency or hype. We examine problems clearly.
Precise
Specific findings grounded in evidence. No vague recommendations.
Restrained
We avoid buzzwords and marketing language. Direct communication only.
Confident
Clear conclusions based on rigorous analysis. No hedging or equivocation.
Investment
We work on a project basis. Each engagement is a single decision or bet, analyzed once, delivered as a written memo.
Typical Scope
Strategic decision, organizational change, major investment, or high-stakes bet
Timeline
2-4 weeks from intake to written memo delivery
Engagement Model
Project-based. No retainers. No ongoing commitments.
Investment range depends on decision complexity and analysis depth:
Standard Review
$5,000 - $10,000
Focused analysis of a single decision with clear scope
Complex Analysis
$10,000 - $25,000
Multi-stakeholder decisions, organizational implications, or deep structural analysis
Final investment determined after intake conversation. We'll discuss scope and provide a clear estimate before proceeding.